Morale Index

SUMMARY

The section examines in detail the livelihood conditions of Turkish society and expectations of an economic crisis. It also analyzes the relationships between macroeconomic indicators—such as the consumer confidence index, inflation rate, and expectations of an economic crisis—and the direct vote share of the Justice and Development Party as well as the proportion of undecided voters:

• How was your household’s ability to make ends meet last month? (Jan 2020 – Oct 2023)
• Those expecting an economic crisis in Turkey in the coming months (Jan 2020 – Oct 2023)
• Those expecting economic difficulties in their own lives (Jan 2020 – Oct 2023)
• Do you think the country is currently in an economic crisis? (Jul 2021 – Oct 2023)