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30 Jun 2025
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June'25 Barometer - 165

Political Preferences

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SUMMARY

This section includes analyses and evaluations of which party participants would prefer to vote for if an election were held today, who they want to lead Türkiye, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:

  • If an election were held today, which party would you vote for? (direct choices and undecided votes are distributed)
  • Who should govern Türkiye?
  • Ekrem İmamoğlu and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Presidential Election Scenario
  • Mansur Yavaş and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Presidential Election Scenario
  • Özgür Özel and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Presidential Election Scenario
  • If you were giving a report card grade, what would you give Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in terms of how he is performing his duties as President?
  • If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan WON the upcoming presidential election, do you think it would be positive or negative for Türkiye?
  • Which of the following factors influences or determines your overall voting choice?
  • If you had to choose one of the following for your country, which one would you choose?

Uncertainties in both the economy and foreign policy continue to sustain the public's demand for a strong state. Two out of every five individuals prefer a strong state over a stable economy and a humane society. Although the prospect of Erdoğan’s re-election is viewed negatively and the AK Party’s vote share is not increasing, Erdoğan is raising his personal support levels. Conversely, İmamoğlu appears to have lost the momentum he gained following his arrest. In a scenario where all potential candidates are competing, Erdoğan increased his vote share by 2 points this month, whereas İmamoğlu declined by 2 points. The rate of swing voters and non-voters stands at 30%, these voters constitute 86% of those who stated they would not choose any candidate in a scenario involving all potential contenders. 

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Yıldız Mah. Şair Naifi Sok. No: 2 Beşiktaş / İstanbul
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