KONDA Inflation Expectation Survey - June'25

SUMMARY

This content is a special version of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey for KONDA Barometer subscribers. This version includes more demographic and political breakdown queries. Click here for the public version of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey.

This section presents the June 25 results of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey:

• What is the average percentage increase in prices from June 2024 to this June, i.e., over the past year?
• What percentage increase do you think prices will have over the next 12 months, i.e., from June 2025 to June 2026?
• What percentage increase do you think prices will have over the next 12 months, i.e., from January to December 2025?
• Inflation expectations by age groups,
• Inflation expectations of Erdoğan and İmamoğlu voters,
• Inflation expectations based on Erdoğan-Özel, Erdoğan-Yavaş, and Erdoğan-İmamoğlu candidacy scenarios,
• Inflation expectations based on the national economy and family budget in the coming period,
• Inflation expectations based on summer vacation plans,
• Inflation expectations based on sacrifices.

The downward trend in inflation perception and expectations continues; the 12-month inflation expectation currently stands at 92%, following a 7-point drop compared to last month. Despite this, even those who expect the country's economy to improve in the coming period hold an inflation expectation of 65%. Meanwhile, the gap in inflation expectations between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu voters, having reached its peak in April, has gradually declined in subsequent months. As of June 2025, this gap has returned to the levels observed prior to the operations against Ekrem İmamoğlu and municipalities.